Post-Azerbaijan: Who will Negotiate Armenian Side with in the Near Future

Azerbaijan last Sunday’s parliamentary elections, according to official data, the crushing victory took the ruling “New Azerbaijan” /Yeni Azerbayjan / Party, headed by President Ilham Aliyev.

Aliyev’s party got 125 from Parliament Parliament 70 of Azerbaijan’s key opposition party leaders, 4-th convocation parliament has no mandate.

The opposition said the elections were rigged, and the mass violations. Azerbaijani opposition Musavat Party leader Isa Gambire and the National Front party leader Ali Kerimlin announced that the opposition to restore justice will reach to the European Court of Human Rights.

International observers after the elections, however, mostly positively assessed Azerbaijani elections by Azeri media, the PACE observation mission assessed Paul Villa elections as “international standards, and almost matching the PACE.

CIS Observation Mission Sergei Lebedev is assessing the elections noted that “the cost that some western countries such as Azerbaijan how to hold elections.”

OSCE election observation mission is also “appreciated.”

Strategic and International Studies Director of the Armenian Center, political scientist Richard Kirakosian elections held in Azerbaijan is important for three reasons.

By Richard Kirakosian of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh for the elections were Karo so that it depends on what the future neighbors, and what we have to negotiate with the country. “The elections in Azerbaijan showed that the Armenian side will negotiate a non-democratic and non-trusted with the country.”

The importance of Kirakosian second, the nature of the election. “In the region took place in another failure, not a democratic election, which is worse state of democracy in the region.”

The third important factor is the international reaction. Kirakosyan said that the international community progress of democracy in Azerbaijan did not expect. West must not democratic, but war not pressing Azerbaijan, which, according to Kirakosian, democracy is impossible without DISGRACE notes that the International mild reaction due to a number of factors, first West treats Baku gently, taking into account the oil capital considering it as a way to Afghanistan.

According to ACNIS expert Manvel Sargsyan, elections played a role in the evaluation of the West-Russia conflict: When the Russian observation mission assessed the democratic elections held in Azerbaijan, the background of the Western observer mission could not assess the real, because Azerbaijan is thus a zone of influence, Russia would give.

Azerbaijan before the elections the international community was sending a message that during the whole campaign will be aggressive towards Armenia, flood threats of war DISGRACE notes that the elections are over and Azerbaijan is standing in front of the test, when according to his promise “to give up the aggressiveness and military threats or continue the same spirit: “I think Azerbaijan will not pass this test and will continue to announcements and anti-war threats.

Kirakosyan notes that the Azeri elections this differ from previous ones. “First, this election of Azerbaijani opposition did not have a chance to win, even the opposition 2/3- refused to register as candidates in this parliamentary elections.”

As a point of difference Kirakosyan time allocated to the campaign this time the official campaign period decreased by 23 days to opposition activities, carry out a campaign does not have a real opportunity.

Kirrakosyane notes that since 1993 after the 1-st elections were held, which were banned in all kinds of demonstrations, which the opposition failed to implement any major rally.

Giragosian points to the opposition against the government’s aggressive attitude. He notes that opposition to compromising the typical application of the three Caucasus republics that, but this time it is an expression of Azerbaijan has received. Azerbaijani state television pornographic character in a video broadcast of one of the leaders of the opposition participation.

Kirakosyan rare phenomenon in the history of the issue is that the current first lady elected representative parliament, which this time took place in Azerbaijan.

MPs have also become Aliyev’s uncle, nephew husband Parliamentary mandate in section reached the Minister of Emergency Situations of Azerbaijan’s father, the brother of the Minister of Transport, Socar company president cousin: “The country has become a Shakespeare in Azerbaijan, where political legitimacy is determined by genetic and marital ties, says Kirakosyan.

Manvel Sargsyan and by Richard Kirakosian elections showed how great a gap between the public and the government.

“Opportunity influence on public authorities enough. Ideological vacuum in order to avoid the authorities to fill the military hysteria threats,” says Sargsyan.

Giragosian, however, notes that the basis of Azerbaijan’s military threats is weakened: residents of Azerbaijan are democratic and legitimate government less, for years the population division of oil wealth has not had a case of war and less likely that parents will send their children in front.